READ THIS – EXTREMELY IMPORTANT
FAKE NEWS – FAKE POLLS
MY OPINION
MY OPINON ABOUT THESE
RECENT POLLS FROM THE ALPHABET CHANNELS
Joe Biden has a track record; a history and a legacy that
everyone should scrutinize and then make their own judgment call on this
fifty-year politician; a voting record and public statements which confirm
three things about this man. He will say
whatever he believes will get him elected.
His record is nothing but wrong on every issue that has come before the
Senate. Additionally, he has
flip-flopped on just about every issue that has come before him. He has no ethical and moral compass, and will
do and say whatever will benefit him regardless of the outcome to others. This is the type of person the Democratic
Party has made its figurehead for the highest office in the land.
Like other Americans, the media is forcing its skewed
narrative down my throat with these false poll numbers and biased partisan
opinions passed as “news reporting.” It expects me to suspend my cognitive abilities
and believe them at face value. It
expects me to believe that a medicated quiescent senile old man sitting in a
room somewhere has and can handle the nation’s ills, while the sitting
president of the United States cannot and has not.
WHAT POLLSTERS HOPE
THEY’LL SEE FROM THE ELECTORATE IN NOVEMBER
It expects me to believe that most people like me, have a
more favorable view of a man who sits in his room and does absolutely nothing,
but spurt criticisms after the fact; has done more for the nation in this
pandemic than the man in the White House who has and is currently handling this
pandemic, the likes of which this and no other nation has ever known.
It expects me to believe that the false poll numbers the
fake news media spouts every night is to be believed, and therefore based upon
these false poll numbers, project an election’s outcome months before the
American people will go out to vote.
They also want to suppress Trump voters so they won’t go out vote by
discouraging them on before Election Night.
They want US to believe that a vote for Donald Trump is a vote for “a lost cause.”
It also wants me to believe that there are no safeguards
that can be taken on Election Night to allow the people to leave their homes
and cast their vote without fearing contracting the Chinese Wuhan Corona Virus.
It also expects me to believe the efficacy of mail in
ballots when it has demonstrably proven that it is the most effective means of
voter fraud available for corrupt partisans to use to skew an election they
fear is and therefore be won by unethical means.
It also expects me to believe that mail in ballots and
attempts to harvest votes by the Democrats has not lead to voter fraud and made
up ballots of people who have either died or did not exist to begin with, as
well as allow for multiple votes mailed in by the same individuals to pad up
votes in favor of the losing side.
POLLS ARE CREATED TO
SUPRESS THE CONSERVATIVE VOTE
The polls that the fake news media have been putting out
favoring Biden are nothing more than a type of inverse voters suppression
seeking to keep Trump’s base from going out to votes by believing they’d be
doing so for a “lost cause,” and so these “news” outlets are hoping their fake
polls will have this effect on the electorate on Election Night.
They seek to have US suspend all logic and believe that a
quiescent septuagenarian – almost octogenarian who sufferers from dementia –
whose handlers are keeping hidden and bunked away from public view for fear he
might say something that will all but doom his chances come this November –
that this career politician bunkered in his room is perceived by most people as
more capable than an active sitting president in handling the nation’s ills,
when in point of fact, his fifty year record indicates that he has been on the
wrong side of every issue and has never done one thing while holding public
office that has ever benefited anyone, let alone, improve the nation in any
way.
What’s more, they have selectively sampled prospective
voters, not actual registered primary voters and actual ballot results versus
those reflecting actual primary voters’ results.
This is done for one reason; to skew polling to favor the
candidate of one’s choice, in this case the presumptive Democrat
candidate. In their polls, they have
used numbers of Democrat prospective voters over those of their prospective
Republican counterparts. In order to do
this, their selection process uses thirty to forty percent more prospective
Democrat voters than prospective Republicans, and Independents. Of course the results will favor the
Democrats. It’s psychological. With the reported fake news repeatedly
reporting these and prognosticating against the incumbent president, they wish
to convey to the general public the view they manufacture for them to believe. As the public is being bombarded all day long
on the cable channels and nightly on the broadcast news channels with these
fake polls and nothing but news skewed against Trump. The aim is to discredit the president and
squelch conservative points of view on social media by censoring them or
removing them from Twitter and Facebook and Google. What this has created is a silent majority
and it is this silent majority that they have targeted. Their war is not just with the president; their
war of censorship is against the American electorate; most of which are now
afraid to make their opinions known in public for fear of reprisals by the
cancel culture.
THE BEST GAUGE OF OUR
ELECTIONS: THE REALITY ON THE GROUND
A close friend of mine describes the lines for Republicans
voting for Trump as “huge, going around the block for blocks.” He describes them as enthusiastic and
engaging, talking with one another.
On the other hand, according to what he saw on the ground
that evening, the line of people who represented those voting Democrat were few
and far between, and they appeared dispirited and downcast. No one in that line was speaking. The Democrats appeared almost embarrassed
being there. This is the reality of what
is on the ground, not some selective targeted group made up by some partisan
pollster to represent the general public at large across the country as these
so-called seek to convince the public of.
MOODY ANALYTICS
Similarly to the model Moody Analytics used to forecast a
Trump victory this November, the Primary Model used by pollster Helmut Norpoth
uses gauges the general elections by sampling actual voters and their vote
. His model uses samples across the
country of the primary results of actual votes cast – real numbers, not
manufactured numbers from a select group in some isolated places across the
country. Norpoth’s model uses a sampling
of both Democrats, Republicans, and Independents who go out to vote. He forecasts President Trump’s reelection
probability to be at 91 percent.
The problem with the Democrats and their hysterical state of
quiet and not so quiet desperation is that they’ll resort to anything to blunt
this success. For example, in various
places across the country, places such as California and places where Democrats
own and run the statewide – the blue states – they resorted to stuffing the
ballot boxes with fake votes with as many votes as they can harvest. These are the places where the Democratic
Party own huge political machineries and have run them for decades. In places like New Jersey, California,
Pennsylvania and more, local Democrats have been cheating by harvesting votes;
the votes of illegals, the votes of the deceased, the multiple votes of some,
etc. This is how they have been able to
claim “the popular vote” in every
election since Bill Clinton last held office.
But the difference between this election and those of prior
years is that many Republicans across the nation are diligent to intervene and
investigate the validity of these so called “votes.” In past elections,
the RINOs just let those elections results slide towards the Democrats almost
every time. Although there was
widespread report across the country in 2012 about voting irregularities; stuck
voting booths, malfunctioning buttons, votes which were cast for the
Republican candidate going to the Democrat candidate, etc., and the fact that
vast majority of voting machines across the country were imported by a Spanish
company owned by an Obama supporter; the GOP did absolutely nothing to
challenge and investigate these allegations.
Not so with these elections.
SO WHERE’S THE SILENT
TRUMP MAJORITY? DEMS ARE IN PANIC MODE
So that now presently we’re supposed to believe that the
Trump masses that filled stadiums have all disappeared or gone into hiding, or
just ceased to exist. Well, they’re not
being included in any of these polls, but are waiting for November to come so
they can go out and vote. And vote they
will. They will come out in overwhelming
numbers, as they will be ignoring the psychological voter suppression they’ve
been subjected to by the organs of the mass media and academia along with
operatives of the deep state, all of whom have come out against President
Trump.
The Democrats are in desperation mode right now, and are
racing to publish books by Trump’s detractors before the onset of this year’s
elections in order to turn the tide of public opinion against him. They’re hoping the American electorate will forget
the unique amazing achievements in the economy and in almost every sector of
our society President Trump has brought to pass the last three and a half
years, and instead focus to salacious scandals and lies and personal anecdotes
against him. They’re doing this, as I
have never witnessed done against a sitting president before.
They are panicked about Trump’s base, some calling them “the silent majority” which are being all
but ignored by the organs of the mass media, the pollsters, and including Fox
News. The Democrats know what they’re up
against and know that the reality of the numbers is just not out there, and
they and their minions in the news media are hard at work massaging the numbers
with limited targeted groups which do not reflect the general reality they fear
the most; that President Trump will win reelection to a second term in
November, because the vast majority of the American electorate – the silent
majority – will put him there, as GOD wills, for another four years, and there
is absolutely nothing they can do to prevent it. They’ve tried everything and it has not
worked until now.
JB
September 12, 2019
It’s been a tough
few weeks for CNN. Who knew pushing fake
news could be so challenging?
First, they tried
to turn President Trump into a rube for suggesting that Alabama could be in the
path of Hurricane Dorian. It turns out
that CNN suggested the same thing, a few days before Trump did, warning Alabama to “be
on the lookout”.
Then came the
fiction that Trump outed a Russian informant. Instead the reality was that the decision on any outing or exfiltration
occurred before Trump became president. We
know whose watch this occurred on, but CNN chose to instead blame the current
president.
Now it’s an opinion poll. CNN’s
story of the week is, ”6 in 10 say Trump does not deserve a second term.”
Well, that settles it. If CNN says so, it must be true. Get ready for President Beto or Pete.
Remember how they
said endlessly that Trump colluded with Putin and the Russians to steal the
election from Hillary Clinton. And how
Trump would soon be frog marched from the White House, if the gaggle of
psychiatrists declaring Trump insane didn’t get rid of him first via the 25th Amendment.
CNN told us Stormy
Daniels would be the Trump slayer. Or
was it Omarosa? Or Michael Cohen? Or Megan Rapinoe? I’ve lost track. Michael Avenatti was the perfect candidate in
the eyes of Brian Stelter, host of CNN’s show with the most fraudulent name, “Reliable
Sources.”
CNN is giddy over
this latest poll, reinforcing their reputation as a
hackneyed and partisan propaganda arm of the Democrat Party. This will be the story that reverses Trump’s
likely successful bid for reelection. In
the minds of Beltway journalists, everyone hates Donald Trump and wants him
sent packing in November 2020.
CNN describes their
poll by saying, “Overall, the poll paints a picture of a President who has done little
to improve negative impressions of him or his work during his time in office.”
I wonder if they mean his conservative
judicial appointments. Or record low
unemployment, particularly for women, blacks and Hispanics. Or America’s energy independence. I guess those achievements cause “negative
impressions” for the CNN-watching zombies.
Polls are as good
as their survey sample. Conduct a Trump
approval poll on the Upper East Side of Manhattan or in Boulder, Colorado and
not surprisingly his approval number will be in the low single digits. In this particular poll, the internal methodology illustrates
how CNN obtained their desired result by commissioning a poll which oversampled
Democrats. “31% described themselves
as Democrats, 25% described themselves as Republicans, and 44%
described themselves as independents or members of another party.”
The poll oversampled Democrats by 6
percentage points.
Of the 44 percent who were either independents
or “members of another party,” how many other parties are there? Could some be members of the Green Party or
the Democratic Socialists of America, the latter being the party of “The
Squad”? Are their opinions more
reflective of Republicans or Democrats?
The CNN poll also
looked only at self-described registered voters, not likely voters, as other
more accurate pollsters survey. According to CNN, “about 55% of voting age citizens cast
ballots” in the 2016 presidential election, meaning half of those surveyed
didn’t even bother voting.
]For comparison,
look back eight years ago when Barack Obama was running for reelection. A Gallup poll from December 2011 found that 55
percent of those surveyed believed that Obama did not deserve reelection. This number is not much different from the
Trump number of 60 percent cited in the CNN poll. Yet Obama was reelected easily.
Note also the media
coverage, not just by CNN, of President Trump. The Media Research Center found that Trump receives 92 percent
negative media coverage. The Pew Research Center agreed, “Trump media three times more negative
than for Obama, just 5 percent positive.”
Given the
overwhelming difference in media coverage of Trump versus Obama, the fact that
they have similar reelection poll results is quite favorable for President
Trump. Another way to look at these
reelection prospects is to look at approval numbers of Obama versus Trump at
similar points in their respective presidencies.
Rasmussen Reports
does just that. As an aside, Rasmussen was one of the most accurate pollsters in predicting the outcome of the 2016
presidential election. Rasmussen has a
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll of likely, not simply registered, voters,
creating a more valid survey sample given that half of eligible voters don’t
even vote.
On September 10,
the total approval number for Trump was 47 percent, compared to
42 percent for Obama exactly eight years ago, the same point in both
presidencies. And we know who easily won
reelection in 2012.
Is CNN honestly
reporting their poll results, based on the confounding factors noted above? Or are
they pushing a narrative, trying to
create their desired electoral outcome? From their article reporting the poll, “Trump's approval ratings for handling
major issues are largely stagnant, with what little movement there is
heading in the wrong direction for the President.”
Democrats, and
their media handlers, have learned little since 2016 when their polls all
predicted a Hillary Clinton landslide, even on Election Day. Representative
Jerry Nadler is pushing impeachment when only 21 percent of voters support going in this direction.
It’s interesting
that the media touts polls which support their agenda or their wishful
thinking, ignoring any contradictory information. For example, the media pays little attention
to Rasmussen polls showing Trump support among black voters hovering around 30 percent last month.
Or a Zogby poll
from last month with this result, “Trump's approval rating has improved
with minorities: 28% of African Americans and 49% of Hispanics at least
somewhat approve of the president.”
Trump enjoys 88
percent job approval among Republicans according to the recent CNN poll, but that’s not the headline.
Democrats ignore
the polls they don’t like or Trump rally crowd sizes and enthusiasm at their
own peril. Those who live by fake news
polls may have another bad night in November 2020.
Brian C Joondeph, MD, is a Denver based physician,
freelance writer and occasional radio talk show host whose pieces have appeared
in American Thinker, Daily Caller, and other publications. Follow him on Facebook,
LinkedIn, Twitter,
and QuodVerum.
Beth Baumann
But it gets worse. Gallup also weighted the poll in such a way
that each Republican who answered was counted as only 85% of a respondent, while Democrats who responded were counted
as 107%.
Now you know why
the results came out so skewed against President Trump. Pure fake news. If you poll more Democrats, of course the
results will be deadly for Trump.
I have the answer. My new "Root Poll" will poll
only Republicans, conservatives, patriots, gun owners and business owners. I'm betting my poll will show 90% of the
electorate supports Trump. That's proof
that Trump will be reelected, right?
My Root Poll makes
about as much sense as the fake news polls you've been force-fed by the
fake-news media.
Wayne Allyn Root is a CEO, entrepreneur, best-selling
author, nationally syndicated talk show host on USA Radio Network and the host
of "The Wayne Allyn Root Show" on Newsmax TV nightly at 8 p.m. ET.
MY OPINION:
In October of 2019
Moody’s Analytics projected a Trump victory almost assured, but a lot has happened since that polls and
it has yet to be seen if the poll holds until November this year. Here
is what an article said about this poll:
Capitol Report
Published:
Oct. 15, 2019 at 4:20 p.m. ET
Referenced Symbols
President Donald
Trump has a love/hate relationship with polls, surveys and predictions. He
loves the ones that paint him in a positive light, and, of course, he hates all
those “fake” ones that don’t.
He’s going to
absolutely adore this one.
According to Moody’s Analytics, Trump is headed toward another four years in the White House. And, if the numbers are right, it won’t even
be close. In fact, his Electoral College
victory could very well be wider than the 304-227 margin he enjoyed over
Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election. Since 1980, Moody’s has managed to nail the
outcome every time but once — like many, it didn’t see Trump coming.
“In
our post-mortem of the 2016 presidential election model,” the report said,
“we determined that unexpected turnout
patterns were one of the factors that contributed to the model’s first
incorrect election prediction.” Here’s
Moody’s track record, including a 2016 adjustment for the turnout variable:
Will it return to its winning ways? The team takes into account how consumers feel
about their finances, the performance of the stock market SPX, -0.55% and their job prospects. Essentially, today, they’re feeling pretty
good.
“Under
the current Moody’s Analytics baseline economic outlook, which does not forecast any recession, the 2020 election looks like Trump’s to lose,”
the authors wrote. “Democrats can still
win if they are able to turn out the vote at record levels, but, under
normal turnout conditions, the
president is projected to win.”
From the MarketWatch archives (August 2016): To
professional economists, Trump isn’t even the second best candidate in the 2016
presidential election
Moody’s uses three models to come up
with its forecast. In each case, Trump
gets at least 289 Electoral College votes.
The “pocketbook” measure, which focus on how people feel about their
money situation, is where Trump shines brightest, grabbing a whopping 351
electoral votes. “If voters were to vote primarily on the basis of their pocketbooks,
the president would steamroll the
competition,” the report said.
The stock-market model gives him the
slightest edge of 289-249, as investors continue to navigate a volatile
investing landscape. Then there’s the
unemployment model, which leans heavily in his favor at 332-206.[1]
Fake News Versus
Fake Polls
Wayne Allyn Root
Posted: Oct 27, 2019 12:01
AM
Last week, I wrote
about why you can't trust a word the biased, liberal mainstream media tells you
about President Donald Trump. They
distort, mislead, misrepresent, slander and muddle context.
As their Marxist
hero Saul Alinsky taught them in "Rules for Radicals," the
ends justify the means. In other words,
anything goes -- any lie is excused -- to create "fairness, equality
and social justice."
As an example, all
we've heard for months is how we are either entering a recession or already in
one. The mainstream media, now the
public relations arm of the Democratic Party, drills into your head a hundred
times a day, "Things are getting worse, the Trump economy is
sinking, get ready for bad times."
Is that true? Or is it fake news?
Against all odds,
jobless claims fell this past week. The so-called
experts were shocked. There was a
massive General Motors strike. GM's
suppliers were expected to lay off workers. But they didn't. The demand for U.S. workers remains high. Everyone who wants a job has a job. Wages are growing. And there are few layoffs. In a tight job market, companies can't afford
to let anyone go.
Then a CNBC
headline announced, "2019 is Shaping Up To Be One of the Best Years
Ever for Investing." It reports
this could be the first year in history every asset class is up double-digits
-- stocks, bonds, oil and gold. The
S&P 500 is up 22%, gold is up 16.1%, oil is up 17.8% and U.S. Treasury
bonds are up 9%.
This is what you
call the Trump Economic Miracle.
But sadly, I'm here
to report you can't trust any of the polls, either. They are as fake as the news.
Recent Fox News and Gallup polls were used
by the liberal mainstream media to prove America has turned against Trump. Both polls were as crooked as a $3 bill.
The Fox News poll
did not measure using reliable "likely voters." It polled only notoriously unreliable "registered
voters." And it overrepresented
Democrats by a mile. Forty-eight percent of the respondents were
Democrats. But in the real electorate, Democrats
make up 31% of the voters. That's a massive double-digit swing in
favor of Democrats. That's as fake
as polling gets.
Of course, those
fake metrics produced a poll that showed 51% of voters support Trump being
impeached and removed from office.
Then Gallup
produced a poll that showed 52% of Americans support Trump's impeachment and
removal from office. But Gallup never
asked if respondents were registered to vote. These were 1,526 random people who answered
their phones. Gallup also never checked
if they were illegal aliens or noncitizens. Many of the respondents answered the questions
in Spanish.
MY OPINION
Both of these
articles were posted October of last year.
That was then, this is now. In
recent week’s, since the Wuhan Corona Virus Pandemic, various polls across the country have been popping up almost all
putting Joe Biden ahead in the polls, some
even to the absurd double digits! Are we
to believe these? But I am not the only one who sees through
this ruse to suppress President Trump’s baseline of supporters’ vote; there are many others who see it as well
and this is what they posit regarding this widespread deception. This
is what they say; we begin with an
article that was written three years ago, but is as relevant today as it was
when it was written, because it instructs people about what to look for when
they are confronted with a fake poll. Read
on…
JB
AUG. 23, 2017, AT 12:24 PM
By Harry Enten
Filed under Polling
Fake polls.
Amateur-ish polls. They’re becoming a problem, and they’re
likely to become a bigger one. But
you don’t need to be a statistician to spot a suspicious poll. I’d recommend a few simple questions that
everyone, professionals and amateurs, can ask of any poll to help avoid the
suspect ones. And almost everyone,
including me, has been fooled. (Almost the entire political media, for
instance, was reporting on polls from Research 2000 before it was unveiled as a forgery.) There are going to be legitimate
pollsters that don’t meet all of these criteria. But if you come across a “pollster”
that fails most of these tests, I’d take your mouse off the retweet button and
go on with your day.
- First and foremost, does it seem
professional? That
may seem too basic, but it works surprisingly well. Is a pollster’s press release riddled
with typos? Reputable pollsters are
run by publicly identified people, and if they’re putting their
professional reputations on the line, they probably want to make a good
first impression. Spelling simple
words wrong or misspelling the candidates’ names is often a sign that
either a pollster doesn’t know what it’s doing or isn’t on the level. Small mistakes usually come with big
mistakes.
- Who? Who conducted the poll? Does the pollster have a long track
record? Check out the polling
firm’s website — are there real people with expertise listed there? Does the pollster even have a website and
not just a Twitter account? (Websites are pretty easy to create, but
some fake pollsters don’t even do that.) If a pollster doesn’t reveal the
people working for the company, then you probably don’t want to cite the
firm’s numbers.
- How? How was the survey conducted (e.g., via automated phone,
live telephone interview or on the internet)? If it was on the internet, see how the
pollster was getting people to participate in its polls (e.g., via its own
panel or Google Surveys). If it was
on the phone, find out which phone bank was doing the calling. If a pollster isn’t revealing its
methodology, don’t trust it. Legitimate,
professional pollsters prize transparency.
- What? What questions are being asked? If it’s a poll about an election,
legitimate pollsters will typically ask respondents more than simply who
they prefer, Candidate A versus Candidate B. The pollsters will want to find out why people
are voting the way that they are (what issues matter to them, for example,
or how favorably respondents view the candidates). At a minimum, pollsters will ask
demographic questions in order to weight their data properly. If a pollster isn’t revealing this data
and how it’s being weighted, be suspicious.
- When? This works two ways. First, when was the poll itself
conducted? And how many people did
it reach? Those are crucial,
standard details every on-the-level pollster releases. Second, when was the polling company
founded? If there’s no answer, be
suspicious. If it was only very
recently, treat its results with caution until it has a body of work to
judge.
- Why? Polls cost money, so most pollsters aren’t
conducting them on a whim. Academic
institutions often poll to increase their name recognition, or to provide
students an educational opportunity. Most professional pollsters conduct
surveys to make money. If there
isn’t something on the website that tells you why the pollster is
conducting the poll, something is probably up.
- Where? Find out where the company is
located. Even in the age of the
internet, most pollsters have a physical location. An address that you should be able to
send a piece of mail to. An actual
place that you can check exists via a website like the Whitepages.
- Can you reach the pollster? Some fly-by-night operations won’t even
have phone numbers on their websites for you to call. That’s probably not a good sign. If there is a phone number, see if it’s
toll-free (costs more money to the company, but less to the consumer). If it’s not a toll-free number, see if
the area code matches the area where the company is located. And if you’re really adventurous, pick up
a phone and see if you can speak to a real person. (You can also try the “Shattered Glass” trick, if you’re suspicious.) If there’s no number, shoot the pollster
an email (assuming its website includes an address). Do you get a response?
- Short on time? Check to see if polling websites like
HuffPost Pollster or FiveThirtyEight have cited the pollster. If they haven’t, there’s probably a good
reason.
- Still unsure? If you think there’s a fake poll
out there, simply email FiveThirtyEight at polls@fivethirtyeight.com. We’ll look into it.
By Harry Enten
Filed under Polling
Published Aug.
22, 2017
Is Kid Rock leading
the U.S. Senate race in Michigan? A story like that is essentially designed to
go viral, and that’s exactly what happened whenDelphi Analytica released a poll fielded from July 14 to July 18.
Republican Kid Rock earned 30 percent to Sen. Debbie Stabenow’s 26 percent. A
sitting U.S. senator was losing to a man who sang the lyric, “If I was president of the good ol’ USA, you know I’d turn our
churches into strip clubs and watch the whole world pray.”
The result was so
amazing that the poll was quickly spread around the political sections of the
internet. Websites like Daily Caller, Political Wireand Twitchy all wrote about it. Texas Gov. Greg Abbott tweeted it out. And finally, Kid Rock himself shared an article from Gateway Pundit about the poll.
There was just one
problem: Nobody knew if the poll was real. Delphi
Analytica’s website came online July 6, mere weeks before the Kid Rock poll was
supposedly conducted. The pollster had basically no fingerprint on the web.
Indeed, Delphi
Analytica isn’t a polling firm in any traditional sense, and it’s not entirely
clear they even conducted the poll as advertised.
The story of Delphi
Analytica, its mysterious origins and its Kid Rock poll show that the line
between legitimate and illegitimate pollsters is blurring. Much of the polling
industry is moving online, where conducting a survey isfar less expensive than making thousands of phone calls.
But that lower price has also opened up polling to all sorts of new people: Some
are seasoned professionals trying an old craft with a new tool or well-informed, well-meaning amateurs trying to break into the industry, but
other characters have less noble goals — they’re pranksters seeking attention
and scam artists trying to make a quick buck.
If you’re a
political observer interested in polls or a journalist who writes about them,
you need to be more careful than ever.
MY OPINION
Now the following
articles are more up to date. Both are
from the month of June of 2020. They
present additional reasons why the polls are nothing but fictitious
fabrications created by clever pollsters with political leanings they do not
reveal, but which reflect in the selectivity of the people they poll, the
questions they ask of them, which they seldom if ever reveal, and the actual
responses they received from them.
For
example, they never tell you the percentage of Democrats to Republicans to
Independents, to Libertarians that take part in these polls. There is a world of information and detail
they intentionally leave out, but which they do not want YOU the viewer and
reader to know about, because if you do, they will be exposed for the fakers
and partisan phonies they are. Read on.
JB
| June 08,
2020 09:04 PM
The purveyors of
fake news at CNN are convinced, just as they were four years ago, that they
have this presidential election in the bag. Donald Trump is done, and Joe Biden is headed
for a landslide, just like Hillary Clinton was.
At this point, they
have zero credibility left.
As before, CNN’s
confidence is severely misplaced — and we’re going to prove it. The best evidence they can present are polls
that suffer from exactly the same flaws as the ones that indicated a landslide
victory for Clinton in 2016.
To the delight of
liberals everywhere, the Atlanta-based hub of fake news recently put out a poll showing Biden with a 14-point
lead in the race, with 55% of the vote to Trump’s 41%, a larger share than any
presidential candidate has received in an actual election since Ronald Reagan
garnered 58.8% in his 1984 shellacking of Walter Mondale.
Before they start
celebrating, though, Democrats should recall the old adage about things that
seem too good to be true. President Trump hired the renowned and respected polling
firm John McLaughlin and Associates to analyze the methodology that
produced those dubious results, and its assessment was devastating.
CNN’s latest wonder
is a poll of all adult voters, with no effort made to sort out which people are
likely, or even registered, to vote. This method of polling consistently
undercounts Republican turnout, as
more-reputable polling outfits have long understood, and as CNN should have learned from 2016.[2]
As a result of this
lazy (and cost-saving) methodology, more
than 10% of the respondents in CNN’s poll are not even registered to vote in
November.
There’s even a
strong indication of pro-Biden skew in the numbers themselves. Only 37% of registered voters who told CNN
they were more likely to vote for Biden said they were actually voting for Biden,
as opposed to against Trump. That’s a
dire figure. For comparison, polls consistently showed that about
three-quarters of Barack Obama’s voters were “for”[3]
him rather than “against” his opponent
People are
simply not enthusiastic about
Biden. Shoot, even Biden doesn’t seem very
enthusiastic about Biden most of the time. They are, however, extremely enthusiastic
about President Trump — even in the supposedly “devastating” CNN poll,
about 70% of those who say they will vote for Trump say they’re voting for him, not against Biden.
At the Trump
campaign, we don’t need CNN to tell us about that enthusiasm because we get to
experience it every single day. Even
amid the coronavirus
pandemic that has
blocked off most of the traditional fundraising methods and radically reshaped
political campaigning, we are continually setting new records for fundraising. Meanwhile, the president continues to maintain
equally historic and consistent support within the Republican Party, polling
at 96%within the GOP. The enthusiasm is there. We can prove it, and the exact opposite is
true for Sleepy Joe.
That discrepancy
goes a long way toward explaining why shoddy polls such as this CNN monstrosity
are so relentlessly promoted in the media. Big landslide polls of this sort are intended
to become self-fulfilling prophecies by dampening
enthusiasm on the “losing” side and pumping up the “winning” side’s base.[4]
What CNN doesn’t
seem to have realized, though, is that the country has caught on to that trick
and is more skeptical than ever before of eye-popping poll results that seem to
defy common sense. CNN’s credibility is
shot, and blatantly manipulative polls only serve to make the public even more
acutely aware of the outlet’s bias.
Brad Parscale is the campaign manager for Donald J. Trump
for President, Inc.
The opinions expressed by columnists are their own and do
not necessarily represent the views of Townhall.com. |
Posted: Jun 15, 2019 12:01 AM
Since he launched
his presidential campaign in 2015, Donald Trump has masterfully labeled the media
as “fake news” for their ongoing liberal bias and censorship of
conservatives. One method the “fake
news” media uses to ridicule President Trump is to champion supposedly
independent polls that show his low approval rating. The latest tactic is to promote polls that
indicate the President will lose in a “landslide” to former Vice
President Joe Biden in the 2020 election.
This week several
new polls were heavily hyped by the
Trump-hating media. A new Quinnipiac
University poll boasts nothing but good news for the top Democratic
presidential contenders. In individual
matchups against President Trump, all of them are leading. In fact, Biden enjoys a significant lead of
53-40% over the President. Other polls also give Biden a strong lead over
Trump, both nationally and in battleground states like Pennsylvania and
Michigan.
Of course, it is
still very early as the presidential race is 17 months from concluding. In addition, the Democrats will spend the next
several months battling each other and Biden will be taking plenty of political
hits from his opponents.
The former Vice
President’s current situation is understandable because of his name recognition
and the impression that he is the most moderate of the Democratic presidential
candidates. Yet, this image is not accurate as Biden has never been a true moderate and,
in recent weeks, he has tried to move to the hard left on
several issues.
For example,
despite a 40-year history of supporting the Hyde amendment, which prevents
federal funds from being used to perform abortions, Biden reversed his position
last week. This controversial move
delighted the far left in the Democratic Party, but it will cost him the
support among the swing voters and centrists who will determine the winner of
the next election.
While Biden will certainly drop in the polls
in the weeks and months ahead,
the President’s support level has never
been accurately reflected. In the 2016 election, Trump’s victory was dismissed as an
impossibility by many pollsters. Almost none of them predicted either his
triumph or his electoral college landslide with 304 votes.
For example, the
last 2016 poll conducted in Michigan by EPIC-MRA, finished just before the
election, showed Hillary Clinton with a 4% lead over Trump. Of course, he won the state by .3% on Election
Day. This same disparity occurred in
many states throughout the country in 2016.
Along with
inaccuracies in poll methodologies, there is another compelling reason why
Trump’s support level was not accurately reflected in 2016. Clearly, many Trump supporters were
apprehensive about declaring their support for him to pollsters since much of
the news media had been openly hostile toward the President from the beginning
of his campaign.
On Election Day
2016, the President received 46.1% of the vote against Hillary Clinton. Today, Trump’s approval numbers range from
Quinnipiac University’s latest rating of 42% to the new poll results from
Rasmussen, the most accurate pollster in 2016, which indicate a consistent 51%
approval rating. Averaging those two
polls result in a support level for the President which is almost identical to
his vote total in the 2016 election. Thus,
despite the unhinged and biased media coverage, the President’s supporters are
solidly behind him as he embarks on a re-election campaign.
The 2020 election,
like all others, will be won by the candidate who can capture independent or “swing”
voters. In presidential elections, party
bases always stay loyal to their nominee, so both candidates attempt to appeal
to the political center in the homestretch of the general election.
If Biden wins the
Democratic Party nomination by pledging to support an array of hard left
positions, he will be in trouble in the general election. For Trump, his best argument to swing voters
will be the strong economy. In the new
Quinnipiac poll, 70% of the respondents stated that the economy was doing well,
but only 41% gave the President credit. If
he can make the case that he is responsible for policies that have boosted the
economy, his poll numbers will increase significantly. In addition, the President can contrast the
current economic boom with the tough times during the Obama/Biden
administration. The economy is certainly
much stronger today as indicated by a lower unemployment rate, higher economic
growth, etc.
In the next 17
months, there will be many developments, both domestically and abroad, that
will impact the race. While polls
indicate Biden will win the election if it were held today, in the months
ahead, he will not have the same political strength after being thrashed by his
fellow Democratic candidates.
He will also be
receiving a regular dose of the President’s insults. He eviscerated “low energy” Jeb Bush
and “crooked” Hillary Clinton in 2016. He will be targeting the Democratic front
runner in this election and, for now, it is Joe Biden. His latest insult is that “sleepy” Joe
Biden is a “dummy.”
These labels may
backfire with the public, but it is more likely they will stick to Biden, who
has never had to face an opponent like Donald Trump.
ANALYSIS/OPINION:
NBC
News just ran with a hilariously revealing headline about the
sagging, subpar quality of former Vice President Joe Biden’s
campaign for the White House that went like this: “Biden is far less
unpopular than Hillary Clinton was four years ago, polling shows.”[5]
Make way for the Biden 2020 bumper
stickers — “Vote for Me, I’m Not Hillary.”
Let’s remember, that’s after Hillary ran an equally subpar
campaign for the White House in 2016 that went like this: “Vote for Me, I’m Not Donald Trump.”
The takeaway? If this
is all the Democrats’ water carriers in the media can come up with, Biden’s in even
deeper trouble than believed. But it’s
not for lack of trying. Biden may be
a sucky candidate for president, but pollsters and press alike are working
furiously around the clock to disguise that truth.
Witness the latest, a double-whammy hit job against President Donald Trump that
aptly shows how ridiculously easy it is to take biased poll numbers and push
them through the press as fact.
Reuters,
reporting on its own poll, published a story with this headline: “Biden opens 13-point
advantage as Trump popularity drops to seven-month low: Reuters/Ipsos poll.”
That’s a hair-raising lead. A hair-raising headline. But it’s utter bull.
Nowhere in the story was the actual poll linked, so it was
impossible to see the questions that were asked, or the order in which the
questions were asked, or anything that would help explain how Biden was
able to have such a rip-roaring lead over Trump, despite being such a sucky
candidate — anything independent of Reuters’ own writers, that is, who took the
numbers from their own organization and dutifully packaged and presented them
in a story as if they were fact.
Yet look close.
There was this bit at the bottom of the Reuters piece: “The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online, in English, throughout the United States. The poll
gathered responses from 4,426 American
adults, including 2,047 Democrats
and 1,593 Republicans.”
In other words: The poll was online — a la Survey Monkey. It gathered responses from a majority of
Democrats — who hate Trump. And it wasn’t even a gathering of responses
from registered voters,
but rather American adults. Hmm. Interesting.[6]
Here’s one other clue about the ridiculous findings of this
Reuters survey, as reported at the bottom of the Reuters story: “The poll had a credibility interval, a
measure of precision, of plus or
minus 2 percentage points.”
Credibility interval is not the same as a margin of error.
In fact, it’s an entirely unscientific way of gauging public
opinion. In a word, it’s bull. The
American Association for Public Opinion Research[7]
says as much.
“AAPOR urges caution
in the interpretation of a new quantity that is appearing with some
nonprobability opt-in, online polling
results — the credibility interval,” AAPOR warned, way back in 2012. “The credibility interval … requires the pollster to make statistical
modeling choices that translate the observed participant observations … into results
reflecting the targeted group to which the poll was intended … [T]he underlying biases associated with
nonprobability online polls remain a concern.”
Shame on Reuters for the deception. But even more shameful is what happened next.
From The Hill, shortly
after Reuters/Ipsos released
its survey: “Former Vice President Joe Biden’s national lead
over President Trump has increased to 13 percent, a new Reuters/Ipsos poll finds.”
Wait for it, wait for it.
At the bottom, The
Hill reported, “Conducted
June 10-16, the poll surveyed 4,426 registered voters and has a margin
of error of 2 percentage points.”[8]
Nope. Not even close.
False.
Biden, pure and simple, is being buoyed by fake polls, fake headlines and false
reporting. No wonder Americans don’t
trust the media to report the truth.
• Cheryl Chumley can be reached at cchumley@washingtontimes.com or
on Twitter, @ckchumley. Listen to her podcast “Bold and Blunt” by clicking
HERE. And never miss her column; subscribe to her newsletter
by clicking HERE.
Poll: 77% of Conservatives Afraid to Say What They Think
Jul 27, 2020
RUSH: Ladies
and gentlemen, have you seen the story? Everybody that has a show talked about
this last week. And of course I didn’t get a chance to talk about it last week
because even though I have a show, I wasn’t here. And it was the story about
how many people are afraid to be honest about what they believe except
liberals. Liberals feel totally comfortable telling anybody what they believe
because they know that nothing is gonna happen to ’em. But pretty much
everybody else is scared to death to be honest about what they believe,
including the pollsters.
Here’s the story. And it’s from The Cato Institute, which is
a Libertarian think tank. Headline: “Poll:
62% of Americans Say They Have Political Views They’re Afraid to Share.” Now,
you’ve heard this story, if you watch any kind of news, but you’ve not heard my
take on it, so effectively you haven’t heard the story.
“Sixty-two percent of Americans say they have political
views they’re afraid to share.” I think it’s probably higher than that,
particularly when people are talking to pollsters. “Fifty percent of strong
liberals support firing Trump donors. Thirty-six percent of strong
conservatives support firing Biden donors. Thirty-two percent are worried about
missing out on job opportunities because of their political opinions.”
Now, there’s one group that is not afraid to tell anybody
what they think, and that is strong liberals. And the reason that strong
liberals think they can spout off is directly tied to the media. If they’re
echoing the media, they are safe. If they’re echoing the media, they’re echoing
conventional wisdom and they are safe. And they are made to feel as though they
are in the majority. If they reflect what they see on Twitter, which is not
America, but a lot of liberals think it is, then it gives them confidence.
“Fifty-eight percent of staunch liberals feel they can say
what they believe. However, centrist liberals feel differently. A slim
majority, 52% of liberals, feel they have to self-censor, as do 64% of
moderates.” Can you believe, 64% of moderates think they have to censor
themselves? “Seventy-seven percent of conservatives feel they have to
self-censor.” That right there is all you need to know about how wrong presidential
polling is right now.
If, by definition, 77% of Republicans, conservatives, Trump
voters are afraid to tell people what they really think, then the pollsters are
getting lousy data in and they’re producing lousy polling results out. “This
demonstrates that political expression is an issue that divides the Democratic
coalition between centrist Democrats and their left flank.” Even supposed
centrist Democrats are afraid of the radical left.
Now, The Cato Institute thinks the story is that the left is
divided. “Liberals are divided on political expression. Strong liberals stand
out, however, as the only political group who feel they can express
themselves.” That’s not the story. The story here is 77% of conservatives are
essentially afraid to tell people what they really think. Seventy-seven
percent. And it may be higher than that.
How many of them were honest even in this poll. It may be
80, it may be 80% are afraid to tell people what they think. By the way, I
happen to believe it. I’m not surprised by it. I run into conservatives all the
time who want me to shut up if they’re around me, much less express their own
opinions. They’re afraid. Literally afraid. They don’t want the hassle. They
don’t want the controversy. They don’t want the discomfort.
And so they either don’t express an opinion and try to make
it look like they’re apathetic examine therefore no threat or they lie and try
to make it look like they are anti-Trump. Because the safest behavioral mode
when you are in the company of liberals, the safest behavioral mode is to be
anti-Trump.
Now, you extrapolate all this into polling data, and, you
know, every time on this program, every time I make mention of the fact that I
think there’s this — and it’s not just me — that there’s this massive silent majority
out there that is so pro-Trump it may be even bigger than it was in 2016, you
would not believe the number of emails I get from people, “You’re right. You’re
right. Don’t let go of this. This is the biggest unreported story.”
It is the silent majority and how much in favor of Trump
they are but are afraid to say. It’s kind of shocking, in a way. But it also
means that these people do not want to engage. They don’t want to engage the
left. They’re waiting for somebody else to do it. And that somebody else is
Trump. Or maybe elected Republicans.
So as all the statues come down and all of American history
is attempted to be erased, the people steadfastly opposed to this, the people
universally outraged by it don’t say a word. And thus make it appear that
there’s no opposition to what the left is doing. And the media capitalizes on
that like you can’t believe.
The media capitalizes on the notion that a majority of
Americans agrees with everything Black Lives Matter and Antifa are saying.
That’s what not pushing back looks like. So it’s not that there is a divide
among the left. It is that 77% of conservatives self-censor themselves because
they’re afraid. I’m not commenting on whether it’s bad, good, indifferent,
whatever to be afraid. I’m just acknowledging that it is fear.
BREAK TRANSCRIPT
RUSH: Elkhorn, Wisconsin. Joel, great to have you. Glad you
waited. You’re next on the EIB Network. Hi.
CALLER: Hi. Just continued prayer for you and that God
continues to richly bless you.
RUSH: Thank you, sir, very much.
CALLER: Yeah. I’m actually calling ’cause I disagree with
what you spoke about earlier with the polling and people being afraid to speak
their mind. I think that is a small percentage, but I think people are just fed
up like myself. Everything is weighted. Sports. Coronavirus especially. I’m a
nurse. Everything’s weighted, and, uh… (click)
RUSH: Did we just lose the connection? (interruption) All
right. Okay. That’s enough. Let me see if I can extrapolate. He was calling to
disagree with me. But I didn’t say anything. I was just quoting from a poll.
The poll said 77% of conservatives are afraid to publicly express their
beliefs. In fact, the poll said that there’s only one group of Americans
totally confident to express their beliefs with no fear that anything is gonna
happen to ’em, and that’s hard-core liberals, and that number is 62%.
Moderate liberals… There’s no such thing, but the poll
nevertheless said moderate liberals, 58% of them are afraid to express their
views, and that was the thrust of the story. Now, that’s a crock. But let’s
examine it, though, as though it wasn’t. Is it possible that there’s 58% of
liberals afraid to publicly tell people what they think because they’re afraid
that somebody’s gonna beat ’em up?
I don’t see it.
I don’t see it.
But that’s because I don’t think there’s very many
gradations in liberals. I think they’re all radicals. The gradations would be
in Democrats. You know, there’s your grandfather’s or your father’s Democrat
Party, which doesn’t exist anymore. But there may be people that identify with
it. Okay. So he doesn’t believe 77% of conservatives are afraid. He thinks that
they’re all over the place and that they oppose everything.
He thinks it’s a small percentage, he thinks people are fed
up and everything is weighted. Sports. Coronavirus especially. I don’t know
what his point was gonna be. I’ve tried to guess. But if he’s disagreeing… He
said I was wrong, but none of this is my opinion. I’m just quoting the poll.
It’s a Cato Institute poll. It’s a libertarian think tank. (interruption) He
was reacting to the poll? (interruption)
Well, then why did he say he was disagree with me?
(interruption) All right. (chuckles) Well, whatever the bottom line is… Well, I
don’t know what the bottom line is ’cause I don’t know what the guy’s point was
gonna be because we lost the connection. (interruption) He said…?
(interruption) So people…? (interruption) Well, but — but… (interruption) Well,
can’t say that they’re not participating because the poll got a result.
Seventy-seven percent of conservatives are afraid to tell
people publicly what they think because they fear that they will be victims of
bodily harm. It’s what the poll said. So if he says, “I don’t think that’s
true. I (grumbling).” So we’ll just have to guess at what he meant and I’m
trying to do that because we’re polite to everybody who calls. It’s not his
fault that we hung up on him.
BREAK TRANSCRIPT
RUSH: White Lake, Michigan. This is August. You’re next.
It’s great to have you, sir. Hi.
CALLER: Great to talk to you, Rush. All I can say is
respect, love, and thanks to you and your whole crew.
RUSH: Thank you very, very much. I sincerely appreciate
that.
CALLER: Well, we appreciate you and your whole staff and
everybody that helps you.
RUSH: Well, let’s not go overboard on the staff, but I —
CALLER: (laughing)
RUSH: We all appreciate it. Thank you.
CALLER: I know. I know you do. I will always speak the
truth. I don’t back down to anyone. I don’t have to confront them. I don’t have
to get mad. I don’t have to yell at them. But I can certainly share my values
and my ideas. And it’s freedom first from God, and it’s the freedom that this
country has given us. People have sacrificed, they’ve sacrificed their life.
When you take someone’s life, that’s it. And they were willing to die for it.
That needs to be fully appreciated and thankful. And you lived your life the
very best you can. And that’s the way you engage yourself.
Despite everything
with all this craziness, I bought (unintelligible) every day in the public and
I’m encouraging people (unintelligible) everybody that’s working, everywhere I
go, stores, I don’t care, don’t care if it’s the police, (unintelligible) give
them a peace sign, give them a thumbs up, I give them a laugh. I go buy a
sandwich, “God bless you, keep going.” (Unintelligible) What does it cost me to
share joy, to lift people up? It’s a simple gesture. (Unintelligible) Hold the
door, let people come in. (Unintelligible)
RUSH: Hey, hey, hey,
August, August, August, I’m sorry, I’m being told that the phone line’s really
bad and we’re having trouble understanding what you’re saying. I think he’s
reacting to the poll that said 77% of conservatives are afraid to tell people
what they really think, and he’s saying hooey. Tell everybody what you think,
give ’em a high five, make everybody feel good, lift ’em up, people want to be
lifted up. I think that’s what he was saying and that that’s what he tries to
do.
Folks, look. You can
disagree with that poll all you want, but I don’t. I’m just basing it on real
life. I don’t see any pushback. Do you see any pushback? I see Donald Trump
push back and that’s it. I don’t see Republicans pushing back. Look at what the
Republican Party’s got. They’ve got a gold mine here. You can’t go to church
but you can join a protest and destroy an American city? That’s what the
Democrat Party has become?
I believe it. I
believe the polls. Seventy-seven percent of conservatives are afraid to tell
people what – we’ve had people call here and admit it. They’ve called here and
they’ve said that they are afraid that they’re gonna get beat up or that
they’re gonna have something bad happen to them. So they wait for when they can
really make a difference. That’s at the ballot box. If you think it’s wrong,
fine and dandy. But you show me where the pushback is. ‘Cause I don’t see much.
Related Links
MY OPINION: the
Democratic Party is in Civil War Mode
The Democratic Party
is now conducting a political civil war of sedition
against the Trump Presidency on all fronts, using every tool it can bring to
bear against the sitting president. Additionally, the Democratic Party is both
slanderous and libelous in its public statements, and its members have betrayed
their oath of office to defend and protect the Constitution of the United
States against all enemies, foreign and domestic with its impeachment show
trials and closed door counsels – closed both to the public and Republican
members of the committee members meeting – all Democrats. Their coupe de ta against the president
stands alone as the most dangerous and horrendous acts committed by the rank
and file of a political ever committed in the history of the United States. Its leadership has and continues to use
inflammatory rhetoric vitriol against the president is the most appalling ever
made in recent history. All public
statements, all policies, all measures, all actions from the White House is
opposed, resisted, questioned, and criticized.
Nothing is left for chance, but everything is put down by the leadership
of the Democratic Party in Washington and across the nation. It’s actions has made it clear that it has
abandoned bipartisanship and replaced it with pure partisan politics at every
opportunity, attempting to stall and prevent all attempts by this president to
restore our economy, restore our military, pull back and remove unnecessary
onerous restrictions and bureaucratic red tape and regulations put on
businesses which have made it for over fifteen years impossible to do business
in the United States, as well as resisting every policy offered by President
Trump that would secure our borders, restore our infrastructure, and every
other policy put forward by this White House.
These actions are nothing short of at the very least irresponsible and
at the worst, criminal.
I repeat, the
behavior and actions of the Democratic Party is both seditious and libelous
against the president of the United States.
As I have written above, I repeat here again; the Democratic Party is
and has been since the 2016 elections, conducting a political civil war against
this president, and sake to take him out of office, and they do not care if
they bring the nation down in order for them to reach their objective. To this end it has used its majority in the
House of Representatives in staffing the most partisan and radical politicians
of its ranks, and has continuously used these committees as political fodder to
resist and bring down every policy measure offered by the president. It is using these with one aim in mind; to
publicly affect public policy and sway public opinion against the president
whom its members despise. Ladies and
gentlemen, this is not what public service is about.
The declarations made by Speaker of the House
Nancy Pelosi (D. CA) and the Senate Minority Whip, Chuck Schumer (D. NY) have
been shameful and horrendously appalling and never should be made against any
sitting president. Their public
statements and actions have been and continue to be against the president, and
they have worked as a party since his inaugural against his every policy, even
taking stances which only years ago they advocated regarding immigration,
federal spending, foreign trade, and so-called gender equality. For them, nothing the president says, does,
or proposes is any good. They are out
for political blood and it’s the blood of this president, especially because we
are nearing the most significant presidential election in our nation’s history. JB
A staffer working on the campaign for the Democratic Party's[9]
presumptive presidential nominee Joe Biden deleted an anti-police tweet from
her account following an inquiry from Fox News.
Sara Pearl, who says she's the supervising producer for
Biden's campaign, tweeted for people not to call police "pigs" because "pigs are highly intelligent and empathetic
animals who would never racially profile you."
Pearl also commented to a retweet calling cops "monsters" who "don't deserve to be called pigs."
"Joe Biden can't
hide from the fact the radical left-wing party he leads has such visceral
hatred of the police, the men and
women who bravely put their lives on the line every day to protect our
communities. At a time when police officers are under increasingly violent attack,
Joe
Biden has allowed a sickening anti-police culture to pervade his campaign.
He sits silently and says nothing as police
are viciously assaulted by left-wing mobs," Bob Paduchik, the Trump campaign's senior adviser for
law enforcement and labor unions, said in a statement, the Washington Examiner
reported.
Biden has said he isn't in favor of defunding the police but
rather federal funding should make sure "they meet certain basic standards of decency, honorableness, and, in
fact, are able to demonstrate they
can protect the community, everybody
in the community."[10]
Related Stories:
- Police
Union Drops Biden for Trump Amid Anti-Police Activism
- Joe
Biden: Police 'Become the Enemy' Quelling Protests
Here are some very insightful observations about the
difference between “defunding” and “redirecting” money:
I wonder if Mike Wallace Wallace will apologize the the
President or even admit his error on TV..... I doubt it, as he knew darn well
that Joe Biden said that he would support REDIECTED funds from the Police to
other things and even gave a specific.
1 Like
txtrucker
That is not defunding. Perfect example Eugene Oregon. 31
years ago the Eugene Police Department contacted the White Bird Clinic which
serves the poor about going into Cahoots with them. So the CAHOOTS (Crisis
Assistance Helping Out On The Streets) program was born. 911 operators consider
CAHOOTS as one of the organizations to contact depending on the circumstances.
Last year they handled 24,000 of the Police Department calls. They are experts
in crisis intervention, de-escalating situations and suicide prevention along
with the usual drug and alcohol issues. From their media guide: ~...See more
PlatypusRexLeader
Defunding and redirecting funding are two different items.
For Example Dump redirected military funds to build his Mexican paid for wall.
Dump did not defund the military though.
PlatypusRex
Robbing Peter to pay Paul = redirecting funds. Redirect
enough and Peter is de-funded. https://www.foxnews.com/politics/biden-says-some-funding-should-absolutely-be-redirected-from-police
2 Likes
PlatypusRex
Wrong. There is a HUGE difference between using a
CONTINGENCY FUND which is set-aside "in case of an unexpected need"
when that fund can be replenished the following year (BTW: such a fund has been
set up for the Military for years. Obama used some for Muslim Outreach. - But
when asked what DEFUND teh police means almost everyone asked says that it
means to take money from the police budget and send it to some other community
need, and in most cases they cite Mental Health in one way or another.... So in
this instance Defund and Redirect means EXACTLY The Same Thing.
3 Likes
Show 1 more replies
Zendarya
Everyone knows that hardened criminals can't be
rehabilitated. Some respond to prison ministry and appear to be remorseful only
to go back out in the world and do their crimes again.
2 Likes
Zendarya
Actually the younger you can divert the better. The success
rate of diversion starts the down hill slide of the Bell Curve after about age
23 to 25. In time, most crooks simply do not want to go back to prison. And too
many suicide by cop than turning to the slow old age death on welfare.
DuckLeader
If you take money from one fund and give to a different
fund, you have DEFUNDED the first fund. Chris Wallace is an idiot for saying
Biden never said that. Pathetic in fact.
6 Likes
Shawnie51707
Duck
I wonder what Chris would call money "redirected" out of his paycheck...
PreacherJim
Duck
You are right.....Wallace went on TV and lied about it.
5 Likes
IvanIvanovitchLeader
"Candy" Wallace
2 Likes
Justin496Leader
Wallace is like other fake journalist or never-Trumper, he
just want to discredit Trump on everything. Biden said, he wants to
"redirect" police funding to community social program, that is the
same as "defund" and the same call from the extreme left demand to
defund the police and give the money to the community social program.
8 Likes
infringedtoo
Some funding should “absolutely” be redirected from police,
amid calls from some in his party to "defund the police" in the wake
of the protests across the country.Biden says, " He says that police don't
need military equipment. I'm glad he knows what they don't need while he is
hiding in his basement. Anyone can see the violence going on. Police need the
equipment and even more officers. Duh!
3 Likes
reaganwasbest1
Biden thinks he is doing a balancing act between the
moderates and radicals of the left but the left will play him like a fiddle and
the song is communism/
4 Likes
Shayneedward67
I agree. Wallace is wrong.
7 Likes
Shayneedward67
Exactly, what is the difference between defunded and
redirected? Just a word.
5 Likes
Infringed too
That depends on what the meaning of "IS" is.
----Bill clinton
1 Like
fly2idaho103
OMG! Beat me to it!
Survey Reports
50% of strong liberals support firing Trump donors, 36%
of strong conservatives support firing Biden donors; 32% are worried about
missing out on job opportunities because of their political opinions
By Emily Ekins
A new Cato national survey finds that self‐censorship
is on the rise in the United States. Nearly two-thirds—62%—of
Americans say the political climate these days prevents them from saying things
they believe because others might find them offensive. The share of Americans
who self‐censor has risen several points since
2017 when 58% of Americans agreed with this statement.
These fears cross partisan lines. Majorities of Democrats
(52%), independents (59%) and Republicans (77%) all agree they have political
opinions they are afraid to share.
Liberals Are Divided
on Political Expression
Strong liberals stand out, however, as the only political
group who feel they can express themselves. Nearly 6 in 10 (58%) of
staunch liberals feel they can say what they believe. However, centrist
liberals feel differently. A slim majority (52%) of liberals feel they
have to self‐censor, as do 64% of moderates, and 77% of
conservatives. This demonstrates that political expression is an issue that
divides the Democratic coalition between centrist Democrats and their left flank.
What’s changed? In 2017 most centrist liberals felt
confident (54%) they could express their views. However today, slightly less
than half (48%) feel the same. The share who feel they cannot be open increased
7 points from 45% in 2017 to 52% today. In fact, there have been shifts
across the board, where more people among all political groups feel they are
walking on eggshells.
Although strong liberals are the only group who feel they
can say what they believe, the share who feel pressured to self‐censor
rose 12 points from 30% in 2017 to 42% in 2020. The share of moderates who self‐censor
increased 7 points from
57% to 64%, and the share of conservatives rose 70% to 77%, also a 7‐point
increase. Strong conservatives are the only group with little change. They are
about as likely now (77%) to say they hold back their views as in 2017 (76%).
Self‐censorship is widespread across
demographic groups as well. Nearly two‐thirds of Latino Americans (65%)
and White Americans (64%) and nearly half of African Americans (49%) have
political views they are afraid to share. Majorities of men (65%) and women
(59%), people with incomes over $100,000 (60%) and people with incomes less
than $20,000 (58%), people under 35 (55%) and over 65 (66%), religious (71%) and
non‐religious
(56%) all agree that the political climate prevents them from expressing their
true beliefs.
50% of Strong Liberals Support Firing
Trump Donors; 36% of Strong Conservatives Support Firing Biden Donors
The survey found that many Americans think a person’s
private political donations should impact their employment. Nearly
a quarter (22%) of Americans would support firing a business
executive who personally donates to Democratic presidential candidate Joe
Biden’s campaign. Even more, 31% support firing a business executive who
donates to Donald Trump’s re‐election campaign.
Support rises among political subgroups. Support increases
to 50% of strong liberals who support firing executives who personally donate
to Trump. And more than a third (36%) of strong conservatives support
firing an executive for donating to Biden’s presidential campaign.
Young Americans are also more likely than older Americans to
support punishing people at work for personal donations to Trump. Forty‐four
percent (44%) of Americans under 30 support firing executives if they donate to
Trump. This share declines to 22% among those over 55 years old—a 20‐point
difference. An age gap also exists for Biden donors, but is less pronounced.
Twenty‐seven percent (27%) of Americans under 30 support
firing executives who donate to Biden compared to 20% of those over 55—a 7‐point difference.
32% Worry Their Political Views Could
Harm Their Employment
Nearly a third (32%) of employed Americans say they
personally are worried about missing out on career opportunities or losing
their job if their political opinions became known. These results are
particularly notable given that most personal campaign contributions to
political candidates are public knowledge and can easily be found online.
And it’s not just one side of the political spectrum: 31% of
liberals, 30% of moderates and 34% of conservatives are worried their political
views could get them fired or harm their career trajectory. This suggests that
it’s not necessarily just one particular set of views that has moved outside of
acceptable public discourse. Instead these results are more consistent with a
“walking on eggshells” thesis that people increasingly fear a wide range
of political views could offend others or could negatively impact themselves.
These concerns are also cross‐partisan, although more
Republicans are worried: 28% of Democrats, 31% of independents, and 38% of
Republicans are worried about how their political opinions could impact their
career trajectories.
Americans with diverse backgrounds share this concern that
their employment could be adversely affected if their political views were
discovered: 38% of Hispanic Americans, 22% of African Americans, 31% of White
Americans, 35% of men, 27% of women, 36% of households earning less than
$20,000 a year, and 33% of households earning more than $100,000
a year agree.
Some are more worried about losing their jobs or missing out
on job opportunities because of political views. Those with the highest levels
of education are most concerned. Almost half (44%) of Americans with post‐graduate
degrees say they are worried their careers could be harmed if others discovered
their political opinions, compared to 34% of college graduates, 28% of those
with some college experience, and 25% of high school graduates
But this educational divide appears largely driven by
partisanship. Democrats with graduate degrees (25%) are about as likely as high
school graduates (23%) to be worried their political views could harm their
employment. However, a major shift occurs among Republicans who attend
college and graduate school. About a quarter of Republicans with high
school degrees (27%) or some college (26%) worry their political opinions could
harm them at work—but this number increases to 40% among Republican college
graduates and 60% of those with post‐graduate degrees. A similar trend is observed
among independents. The share of independents who have these concerns increases
from 18% among high school graduates, to 35% among those with some college, 41%
of college graduates, and 49% of post‐graduates.
Younger people are also more concerned than older people,
irrespective of political viewpoint. Examining all Americans under 65, 37% of
those under 30 are worried their political opinions could harm their career
trajectories, compared to 30% of 30–54 year‐olds and 24% of 55–64 year‐olds. But the age gap is more
striking taking into account political views. A slim majority (51%) of Republicans under 30 fear their
views could harm their career prospects compared to 39% of 30–44 year‐olds,
34% of 45–54 year‐olds, and
28% of 55–64 year‐old
Republicans. Democrats reflect a similar
but less pronounced pattern. A third
(33%) of Democrats under 30 worry they have views that could harm their current
and future jobs, compared to 27% of 30–54 year‐olds, and
19% of 55–64 year‐old
Democrats.
These data suggest that a significant minority of
Americans from all political persuasions and backgrounds—particularly younger
people who have spent more time in America’s universities—are most likely to
hide their views for fear of financial penalty.
A particularly surprising finding was that Americans who
have these concerns are somewhat more likely to support the firing of Biden or
Trump donors. A third (33%) among those who worry that their political
views could harm their employment supported firing either Biden or Trump
donors, compared to 24% of those who were not worried about their views
impacting their jobs. This suggests that those who fear reprisal or economic
penalty for their political views are not entirely distinct from those who seek
the same for others.
Implications
Taking these results together indicates that
a significant majority of Americans with diverse political views and backgrounds
self‐censor
their political opinions. This large number from across demographic groups
suggests withheld opinions may not simply be radical or fringe perspectives in
the process of being socially marginalized. Instead many of these opinions may be
shared by a large number of people. Opinions so widely shared are likely
shaping how people think about salient policy issues and ultimately impacting
how they vote. But if people feel they cannot discuss these important policy
matters, such views will not have an opportunity to be scrutinized, understood,
or reformed.
David Kemp contributed to this report.
METHODOLOGY
The Cato Institute Summer 2020 National Survey was
designed and conducted by the Cato Institute in collaboration with YouGov.
YouGov collected responses online during July 1–6, 2020 from a national
sample of 2,000 Americans 18 years of age and older. Restrictions are put
in place to ensure that only the people selected and contacted by YouGov are
allowed to participate. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 2.36
percentage points at the 95% level of confidence.
MY OPINION AND
CONCLUSION
Polls are based upon the data that the pollster
subjectively chooses to put into it and be used as the pollster’s metric to lead
to a presupposed conclusion the pollster wishes to use in order to bring to
fruition the pollster’s point of view.
It is a method that is too often used to enable the
desire results of the pollster to present what the pollster desires to
promote. What is often the motivation behind the poll is nothing
short of sheer partisanship. This is why almost every poll taken of
the past elections have been highly inaccurate and in some cases completely at
adds with the election results.
A poll when broken down to its bare essentials is simply
a composition. There is a common rule that concerns every form of
composition which is called “the Rule of Thirds.” The Rule
of Thirds is defined in the following manner:
“The rule of thirds is applied by aligning a subject
with the guide lines and their intersection points, placing the horizon on the
top or bottom line, or allowing linear features in the image to flow from
section to section.[11]
“The rule of thirds is the most well-known
composition guideline. It helps draw the viewer's eye into the image
and places more emphasis on the subject. Ideally, the empty space
that's left should be in the direction the subject is looking
or heading into. The rule of thirds doesn't work 100 percent
of the time though.”
The data input used with this model keeps the focus on what
is controlled where the horizontal and vertical meet; that is, in polling, the
wording of questions asked by the pollster, the selective use of data so as
preserve a preset narrative created by the pollster. And where that
preset narrative and the specific questions asked intersect, both work to focus
the reader to a foregone conclusion created and set up by the pollster to reach
a desired end. With the right type of data used, a specific narrative can
be either stated or evoked in the reader.
There are three elements of the poll models used to evoke a
Biden win and these are:
1.) Group selection - defined by the pollster
2.) Numerical value of each group
3.) Questions asked
4.) Responses to questions defined by the pollster
5.) Topics of discussion and how each question is
intentionally phrased6
6.) Results derived from 1 through 5 above
7.) Rule of Thirds applied to all of the above to
focus where the questions concur with one another to result in a predetermined
conclusion by the pollster even if by themselves, they do not reach this
conclusion
These are the methods employed by pollsters, either
knowingly or unknowingly, because the methodology of each poll is controlled by
the pollster's application of Rule of Three to reach a chosen result with a
chosen conclusion, even if that conclusion and result is diametrically opposite
to reality. The articles cited above indicate that the so-called
"lead" Biden has over Trump is nothing more than the result of
methods used by these pollsters to create the appearance of his lead in order
to be used by the fake news media to give Biden's supporters a psychological
edge, if that edge will compel them to go out and vote on Election Night,
November 3rd, 2020.
Biden's supporters among these pollsters and the organs of
the mass media, as well as his campaign staff know that there simply is no
enthusiasm for the Democrat's top pick as their leading candidate for the White
House.
Additionally, they realize that Bernie Sanders voters will
not support Biden, because they were denied him in 2016 and they were denied
him in 2020 by the same DNC-controlled caucuses, and even though their
candidate has been given some concessions by Biden's handlers, they have
absolutely no certainty that Biden can deliver all that he has promised them.
In fact, they seriously doubt, as do most people do (not polls); that Biden
is mentally able to handle the complex problems and issues their party has
created by shutting the country down and continue to select what businesses can
function under the quarantine and what businesses cannot.
They are reminded that the President of the United States
has the nuclear launch codes, and are terrified that Biden would ever possess
these. They did not doubt that Bernie could, because Bernie does not
suffer dementia and does not suffer the mental relapses of memory and cognitive
abilities that Biden suffers, but it is not Bernie who will be holding the
nuclear launch codes, but Biden. That prospect should terrify any
thinking person, let alone Bernie supporters.
And there are many other concerns that Biden presents which
will cause a sizable number of Democrats to stay home in 2020 or vote for
Trump; the president's achievements as a result of policies he put into place
since he came into office.
They're intelligent enough to think for themselves,
realizing that it was not Donald Trump that destroyed the best economy in
recent history, heck, he was behind its creation; it was the shutdown of the
entire US and global economy and the selective reopening of specific sectors
while keeping others closed that has done it.
They realize, regardless of the appalling rhetoric of their
leaders in congress and the senate, who call this Wuhan Corona Virus
"Trump's Virus," but that it originated in Wuhan Province of the
People's Republic of China controlled by the Communist Party of China (CCP).
In spite of the fake polls, these Democrats, while few in
number, will not vote for Joe Biden, but for Donald Trump, for the reason just
cited.
When you add to this Donald Trump's base, including
independent voters who also are aware of the reality of the above, and faced
with a dubious and unknown future of failed policies and politics put forward
by Biden; these voters will vote for the known quantity rather than the unknown
quantity.
These people all realize that the Trump's achievements have
singularly accomplished by him and his Republican allies without any help
whatsoever from the Democrats, and that these achievements have come even with
their opposition to them.
This the reality that will come home to most people on
election night, Tuesday, November 3, 2020, and as GOD wills it, result in what
some believe will be a Trump Landslide of epic proportions; what has been
called "A RED TSUNAMI."
The reality on the ground across the country is that Biden's
people are aware of this, and much more not taken up here, and they're
terrified. Nevertheless, they have chosen to go down fighting to the very
end, and they'll have the help from:
§
Democrat majority in the House of
Representatives and their control of key committees
§
RINOs (Republicans in Name Only) such as Mitt
Romney (R. Utah), and others
§
Madison Avenue
§
The pollsters
§
Hollywood
§
Entertainment
§
Sports
§
The Alphabet Soup Broadcast and Cable Channels
§
The foundations, NGOs, and corporations, all
owned by the wealthiest elites
§
A group of one hundred billionaires opposed to Trump
§
The Democrat National Committee
§
Academia
§
The teachers unions
§
The radical clergy
§
The “WOKE” zombies and drones of the Cancel
Culture using social media platforms
§
The marauding rioters across the country
From local precincts they control and are using to harvest
false votes using mail in ballots, and by every method they believe will bring
Donald Trump down.
With their control of the House of Representatives, they've
already tried to overthrow him and remove him from office through a fake
impeachment based upon a phony dossier and the use of the Department of
Justice, the FBI, the CIA, the NSA, and by Barack Obama and the top members of
his administration in his last days in office, but in every attempt have
failed.
The Democrats were given the House of Representatives in the
midterm elections of 2018, and since that time, have done absolutely NOTHING
for anyone, but have focused their entire energies and attention to destroying
the Trump presidency. They have been seditious, libelous, slanderous, and
appallingly shredded Constitutional law at every turn with secret Star Chamber
councils, which they barred Republican members of their committees from in
violation of the rules, and have made up whole cloth narratives they have
cited, such as the one Adam Schiff (D. CA) read to the televised chamber and to
the nation. A narrative that had absolutely nothing to do with the
transcript the president publicized, but which they used to open impeachment
inquiries against him - something many of their colleagues promised they would
do since he took the oath of office.
Ladies and gentlemen, what we have witness is a coup
d'é·tat conducted by all but one of the House of Representatives' Democratic
members and their leaders, the FBI, the CIA, the NSA, and the mass media
against the President of the United States!
What has occurred by a major political party and several of
the Washington elites in power is the greatest political scandal in the history
of the United States. When the smoke has cleared, and it's clearing, some
big names will be exposed and hopefully prosecuted to the fullest extent of the
law. If they're not, it will confirm the suspicions in some that equal justice
under the law does not exist, but that the United States - a nation to whom
friends and enemies look - has a two tier system of justice where the rich and
powerful and influential are above the law, and the rest are not. If this
were to occur, we would be the laughing stock of the world.
[1]
With the onset of the Corona Virus both of these numbers have changed, because
the government forcibly shut down the American economy, and a record number of
these voters have lost their jobs or have forcibly retired as a result.
[2]
Bold fonts from here on mine – JB
[3]
Italics from here on mine – JB
[4]
“Losing” side versus “winning” side, as defined in reference
to the polls cited, not reality – JB
[5]
Everywhere Italics mine – JB
[6]
Bold Underline mine
– JB
[7]
Dittos – JB
[8]
“Registered voters
and has a margin of error” was cleverly interpolated into the bottom of The Reuters/Ipsos poll.
The language The Hill uses in
its article to describe The Reuters/Ipsos
poll description at its bottom, doers NOT contain the language used in its
description The Hill’s cites. In short, The Hill chose to use the words “registered voters
and has a margin of error” but the actual language used at the bottom of the Reuters/Ipsos poll was “American
adults.” This is the type of
duplicity and bias the American electorate is being bombarded with daily as we
near the November elections by leading arms of the news media and the Democrat
Party.
[9]
All italics mine – JB
[10]
In point of fact, not included in this article by Newsmax, but nevertheless just as important, even more so, because
its not a statement released for public consumption from the Biden campaign,
but an actual statement made as an answer to a question pressed upon him. Biden's campaign has said he does not support
defunding the police.
In a Now This interview with activist Ady
Barkan, the former vice president said that police forces do not need surplus
military equipment, because according to Biden, this is what leads them to “become the enemy” in a community. When Biden was asked by Barkan, “But
do we agree that we can redirect some of the [police] funding?” Biden’s answer was even more revelatory; his
reply was, “Yes, absolutely,”
In short, redirect
is none other than a synonym of the transitive verb defund – “redirect” is
none other than “defunding” because
it calls to defund one entity to fund another; in other words, to pull money
from one budget to use that money for another.
[11]
Wikipedia the Online Encyclopedia
article titled Rule of Thirds – JB
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